Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar!

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Brent and S&P500 Trade Idea for the Upcoming Week

Brent and S&P500 Trade Idea for the Upcoming Week

Information is not investment advice

What happened?

The latest minutes of the Federal Reserve’s meeting showed most Fed officials agreed they could start slowing the pace of bond purchases later this year given the progress made toward inflation and employment goals. That brought a lot of fear to the markets as S&P500 dropped to the bottom of the rising channel and NASDAQ fell to the 50-day moving average. Today traders await

the release of the US unemployment claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index.        

Technical analyses

Let’s start with Brent as oil is the main markets’ driving force.

Brent, 4H chart

XBRUSDH4.png

Brent broke through the support line which used to hold it since May 2021. As usually happens, when price breaks through the massive level it returns and tests it once again. That’s why we assume Brent to return in the $68-69 range.

US500, Daily chart

US500Daily.png

US500, 4H chart

US500H4.png

It is important to watch both assets, as changes in oil price tell us about the perspectives of economic recovery. It might be a good time to open US500 short trade as soon as Brent reaches the support line for a retest. Until then, it is a long trade opportunity.  

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Bulls Are Coming Back

The US dollar index rose to 105.40 after the Fed’s 75-basis-point key rate hike, while the stock and the crypto markets fell. However, during the past few days, investors and traders returned to risk assets as they expect inflation growth to slow. Moreover, Jerome Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve, announced the Fed might start cutting the key rate by 2024, which is the most evident hint of an upcoming market reversal.

What to trade on June 20-24?

Last week was shocking!  The US dollar gained more than 2% against other currencies ahead of the 75-basis points rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday but dropped after the announcement…

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