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Aussie and USD among the winners in G10 currency space

Aussie and USD among the winners in G10 currency space

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

USD/JPY: The USD/JPY pair is now trading above the cloud. An upward wave would lead the exchange rate to eliminate to test the previous peak. Alternatively, further drop of the market will lead the pair to test the upper level of the Kumo.


European Market View

Equities dropped yesterday, dragged mostly by US and Latin America while Europe and Asia were higher. The inflation/stagflation trade dominating once again as yields, oil and metals all were trading higher. Value outperforming growth with cheap energy stocks outperforming long duration tech stocks. Since the ECB meeting a month ago the German 10Y yields are 25bp higher and energy sectors have outperformed semiconductors with more than 30% in the Stoxx 600. In US yesterday, major indices ended the day as follows: Dow -0.7%, S&P 500 -0.7% and NASDAQ -0.6%. This morning Asian markets are mostly lower. European and US sentiment is negative as well with futures being 0.5-1% lower.

In the FX space, JPY was the big loser yesterday with USDJPY climbing north of 113.00 which is the highest level since 2018. On the other hand, Aussie and USD among the winners in G10 currency space as rising commodity prices and continued upwards pressure on US rates set the tone. 



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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