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AUD/USD rose after the RBA meeting
Information is not investment advice
As the market had expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its interest rate from 0.75% to 0.5%. The Australian dollar rallied versus its US counterpart on the news as the decision had been priced in. In addition, the RBA didn’t signal further rate cuts.
On the D1, AUD/USD formed an inside bar on Monday. As long as the pair is staying above the support at 0.6505, it has a chance to rise above 0.6575 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020 decline). The targets are at 0.6620 (downtrend resistance line) and 0.6660 (major support of 2019 and now resistance, 38.2% Fibo).
The decline below 0.6500 will reopen the way down to 0.6450.
Trade idea for AUD/USD
BUY 0.6580; TP 0.6620; SL 0.6560
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?