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AUD/USD tried to recover this week, but its advance was stopped by the 100-day MA at 0.6830. Then it slid below the 50-day MA in the 0.6810 area and on Thursday the line acted as a resistance. The closing price of yesterday’s candlestick was significantly lower than that of the previous three days forming what seems like a “bearish flag”. On the H4, the MAs are in the negative order. All of this allows expecting that the pair will retest 0.6770 (61.8% Fibo of the October advance, November 14 low). A decline below this level will open the way down to 0.6750 and maybe even 0.6725 (78.6% Fibo). Bull will regain power only if AUD/USD recovers above 0.6830.
Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
U.S. stocks are set to open lower later, on a combination of the pandemic news and the downbeat news from Tech’s Old Guard late on Thursday.
Oil fell below $52.00 because investors expect a weaker oil demand amid rising Covid-19 infections and new lockdowns.
Asian equity markets traded cautiously after the mixed lead from Wall St where most indices stalled at record levels
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