Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
AUD/USD: a turning point
Information is not investment advice
The AUD/USD is trading below the tactical resistance of 0.7000. This level is not only a psychological level but also is the highest point since the very beginning of the year. Since March, the AUD/USD has been showing a strong bullish behavior due to the recovery in Australia underway and the current loss of safe-haven appetite among investors dropping the USD. The latest episode was more aggressive in the upward direction than anything we saw recently. So is the resistance of 0.7000 going to be broken?
From a closer perspective, a bearish reversal is technically possible as bulls have definitely lost their momentum. If the support of 0.6960 is crossed downwards, and the price comes to 0.6870, then we are likely to see a further decline down to the very bottom of the general upward trend. Otherwise, breaking 0.7000 would mean some serious confidence of investors about the outlook in general and the AUD in particular.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.