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AUD: the MAs pincers

AUD: the MAs pincers

Information is not investment advice


The Australian dollar gives an unusually strong picture in the Forex market lately. On the H1, behaving almost identically against the USD and the JPY, the AUD recovered its losses after reaching its local low on Tuesday. Interestingly enough, the currency pair entered a channel right between the 100-MA and 200-MA as if it was “caught” there.



Switching to H4 timeframes gives the same peculiar formation: the currency pair trades between the 50-MA and 100-MA, showing an upward recovery after a recent drop. Technically, such a disposition makes it easy to evaluate the expected movement of the AUD: one it crosses the support or resistance of the respective Moving Average, it will confirm the taken direction.



The long-term outlook, however, offers no consolation for the AUD fans. The strategic picture has no support for the Aussie, even with the recovering China ahead of the rest of the world, as the country has little to put against the economic powers of the US or Japan in the Forex field. That’s why, betting on the AUD in the short-term or mid-term, keep in mind that in the long run, that’s a bearish current – which was confirmed a while ago when the AUD renewed its multiyear lows.

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How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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