Is gold predictable now, at all? Let's consider some facts and observations.
AUD/JPY: testing the resistance
Information is not investment advice
From the very beginning of 2018, the overall direction of AUD/JPY was a decline. On the weekly chart, this downtrend is visible, with the 50-week Moving Average serving as the resistance. Since then, the price has tested that resistance two times. Now, we are observing the third time. Therefore, the question is: will it be just another such time or a start of the long-term trend change.
Recently, the price came close to the resistance level of 76.00, which is a 6-months high. On the daily chart, it did the same in November but then dropped. Now, as it is testing the 200-day Moving Average being already above the 50-day and 100-day MAs, it is likely to go into consolidation at the present level.
In fact, we are observing a collision of the 2-years downtrend and the 6-months uptrend. For this reason, whatever the outcome, climbing further up will be difficult, and the price will have to fight its way to actually break through the 200-day Moving Average and the resistance level of 76.00. If it does, we will see a new large trend emerging.
In the course of the abovementioned mid-term consolidation, the price is likely to drop to the area of 74.50. That is approximately where the local 1-week downtrend will cross the 6-months uptrend and the 200-period and 100-period MAs. If the price drops below the mentioned Moving Averages, it should be for a relatively short period of time.
The local downtrend is also confirmed by the reading of the Awesome Oscillator, which just crossed the zero-line downwards after two descending consecutive peaks.
In the short-term, the price shows signs of continuing the downward trend. In the mid-term, we are likely to see consolidation. In the long-term – we have to wait to see the overall trend being broken or continued further.
To understand the factors behind the AUD/JPY price movements, read the news and examine the fundamentals for this currency pair.
Gold has been losing value lately. But recently, it is back up. Is it a good time to buy?
S&P falling this much, this stock falling that much... Not all the stocks are like this! Some of them keep standing and defying the virus damage.
AUD looks stronger, RBA keeps the rate steady. How positive is the picture?
On the H4, we can see that EUR/USD has found a temporary bottom in the 1.0770 area. The pair is now trading above the former short-term resistance line going down from March highs (1.0835).
The USD/CAD price has been falling down since March 19. What are the reasons?