Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar!

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AUD/JPY:  Risk keeps more cautious before NFP

AUD/JPY: Risk keeps more cautious before NFP

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

AUD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.


Fibonacci Levels

 XAU/USD: Gold facing a further weakness and touches another full retracement area. Gold continues to touch session lows for another day.


US Market View

U.S. stocks are seen opening mixed Friday, in cautious trading after the previous session’s sharp sell-off, ahead of the closely watched monthly employment report. Stocks could rebound Friday, but any gains look tepid as U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell shrugged off investor fears about rising inflation, stating on Thursday that the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy was here to stay given the uneven economic recovery.

In the corporate sector, the big tech names will again be in focus as investors think twice about owning high valued companies like Tesla, which is now 30% lower than its record high earlier this year.

Action in stocks and bonds seems likely to remain muted at least until 8:30 AM ET, when the monthly labor market report will be released. Analysts expect the U.S. economy to have added 182,000 nfp in the month through the middle of February, which would represent a second straight monthly improvement in hiring. However, analysts will also be watching what happens to the labor force participation rate, which fell to its lowest since June in January as discouraged workers stopped looking for work.

USA Key Point

  • Risk keeps more cautious, Treasuries calmer for now.
  • Dollar rallies further on post-Powell momentum.
  • The Fed will inevitably move to yield curve control.
  • EUR/USD falls to fresh three-month lows as the dollar holds firmer on the day.
  • USD/JPY extends upside run to highest levels since June last year.
  • OPEC keeps the oil party unstoppable.
  • Germany January factory orders +1.4% vs +0.5% m/m expected.
  • US futures creep higher ahead of North American trading.
  • Cable slumps to three-week low amid dollar strength



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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