Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
AUD/JPY looks exposed
Information is not investment advice
AUD/JPY formed a “shooting star” candlestickon the W1. This week, it’s testing levels below the 50-week MA at 75.45. That’s probably why the pair went down on the news that a pneumonia-like virus is spreading in China: the technical setup was negative and traders took the first cue from the fundamentals to go selling. All in all, we don’t know for how long this will affect the market, but in the short term the pair is vulnerable for the further decline to the support at 74.90. The slide below the 200-period MA on the H4 at 75.27 will confirm the downside. The picture on the H4 also looks like a double top with the neckline around 75.60 – the price will remain under pressure as long as it’s staying below this point.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
Global stocks were mostly lower on Monday, following the weakness on Wall Street on Friday that stemmed from the weaker-than-expected retail sales report for December.
Most analysts claim EUR/USD will dip to 1.2000. After that, the pair should reverse to the upside.
Asian equity markets began the week cautiously after Friday’s losses on Wall St. Mixed Chinese GDP added to the tentative mood for stocks.