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AUD/JPY : climbs to fresh three-year high as the yen comes under pressure again

AUD/JPY : climbs to fresh three-year high as the yen comes under pressure again

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

CHF/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. An upward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bullish outlook.


Fibonacci Levels

 XAU/USD: Gold facing a further weakness the last hours and trading below 23.6% retracement area.


US Market View

U.S. stocks are seen opening lower Thursday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq set to underperform as investors digest the latest comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ahead of key economic data. The global risk rally resumed overnight after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stuck to his guns, repeating in Congress that there can be no question for higher rates policy in the foreseeable future.

Powell’s cautious assessment of the economic outlook will be checked against the latest weekly jobless claims data at 8:30 AM ET. They will be of more immediate interest than the revision to fourth-quarter gross domestic product numbers, which are due at the same time, along with durable goods orders for January.

U.S. stock markets are indicated to open mixed again, as the sell-off in bonds resumes, weighing on “long-duration” bets in the tech sector. Crude oil prices hit their highest level since early January 2020, before the pandemic had even intruded on the world’s consciousness, riding a wave of renewed dollar weakness.

USA Key Point

  • Nasdaq futures down 1% as yields continue to extend higher on the session.
  • German 10-year bond yields climb to highest since March last year as the global steepening continues.
  • ECB is closely monitoring the evolution of long-term nominal bond yields.
  • Oil looks to keep the rally going into the month-end.
  • Dollar fails to take comfort in higher yields so far today.
  • AUD/USD hits 0.8000 for the first time in over three years.
  • USD/JPY inches back above 106.00 as yields lurk higher.
  • Gold trades back below $1,800 as the struggle continues.



Will the FOMC Surprise the Markets?

The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.

Will USDJPY slide lower in 2023?

Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?

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