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AUD/CAD met resistance at the line connecting December and March highs. It failed to close above 10-day MA (0.9515) on Friday and is now testing 200-day MA (0.9497). We see that the path of the least resistance for the pair is to the downside. The decline below 0.9480 will confirm the short-term top and open the way down to 0.9455 (200-period MA on H4) and last week’s lows at 0.9415. To regain strength the Australia dollar needs to get above March 26 high at 0.9526. In this case, the next upside target will be at 0.9623.
Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
U.S. stocks are set to open higher Friday, although gains are likely to be limited with the market set to close early in the aftermath of the Thanksgiving Holiday.
Asian shares stalled near record highs on Friday
CIBC anticipates USD/ZAR will end 2020 at around 15.15, and 2021 at 14.95.
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