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AUD benefits from the biggest trade surplus ever

AUD benefits from the biggest trade surplus ever

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

CAD/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. An upward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bullish outlook.


Fibonacci Levels

 XAG/USD: Silver continuous to stand on 23.6% retracement area. Bearish pressure is growing day by day.


EU Market View

European stock markets are seen opening lower Thursday, following weakness on Wall Street and in Asia overnight amid resurgent worries over higher bond yields and extended equity valuations.

Looking ahead, highlights from macroeconomic calendar include Eurozone & UK construction PMI, EZ retail sales, unemployment, US IJC, OPEC+ meeting, Fed's Powell, ECB's Centeno, Knot, supply from Spain, France & the UK. Fed Beige Book stated that economic activity expanded modestly from January to mid-February for most Federal Reserve Districts.

Yields of major European government bonds, with German bunds being the main example, have also risen, but by less than their American counterparts, amid some mixed signaling from the European Central Bank over whether or not it needs to react. Many Fed officials have downplayed the rise in Treasury yields in recent days, although Fed Governor Lael Brainard on Tuesday acknowledged concerns over the possibility a rapid rise in yields could dampen economic activity.

Oil prices climbed higher Thursday, as traders positioned themselves ahead of a meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, a grouping known as OPEC+.

EU Key Point

  • Commodity currencies bounce back after softer start to the day.
  • Nikkei 225 closes lower by 2.00%.
  • Germany reports 11,912 new coronavirus cases, 359 deaths in latest update today.
  • Japan February consumer confidence index comes at 33.8 vs 30.0 than expected.
  • RBA's Kearns says house price gains are not a concern right now, to be expected.
  • The RBA pushed back hard on rising yields; other central banks seem more relaxed.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Powell speaking Thursday.
  • US Senate will not vote on coronavirus aid bill Wednesday.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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