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Appetite for risk gains before critical ECB monetary decision

Appetite for risk gains before critical ECB monetary decision

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

EUR/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. An upward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bullish outlook.


Fibonacci Levels

 XAG/USD: Silver bulls show a remarkable strength the last hours and send price above the critical 38.2% retracement area.


EU Market View

Asia-Pac bourses traded mostly positive as the region built upon the somewhat mixed performance stateside. European stock markets are seen opening marginally higher Thursday, boosted by the final approval of the U.S. Covid-19 stimulus package, but with moves likely to be modest amid caution ahead of the European Central Bank's policy meeting later. European markets received a positive handover from Wall Street, with the Dow Jones benchmark posting a record close, after the House of Representatives gave its final approval to the Biden administration’s $1.9 trillion Covid relief package, one of the largest economic stimulus measures in U.S. history.

Catch up on further fiscal developments and ECB sources ahead of today's policy announcement and press conference alongside the OPEC MOMR and US Initial Jobless Claims.

The ECB is set to leave its deposit rate at -0.50% and its bond-buying scheme at its current size of €1.85 trillion. Lagarde could promise action in the upcoming April meeting if returns on debt costs remain burdensome. If the ECB announces a surprising increase of some €500 billion to its bond-buying scheme and especially if this buying is mostly done imminently it could turn the picture in favor of the euro.

EU Key Point

  • Germany reports 14,356 new coronavirus cases, 321 deaths in latest update today.
  • US official tells US President Biden is still seeking to make the child tax credit permanent.
  • USD drifting lower, US equity index futures trading higher.
  • US President Biden to address the nation Thursday.
  • US dollar downtrend to recommence despite surging economy.
  • NZD/USD to run up amid near-term volatility.
  • USD/CAD consolidates the downside around 1.2600 amid a pause in WTI rally.
  • GBP/USD holds two-month downtrend.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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