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The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations. Core CPI inflation was 5.6%, also in line with predictions. Furthermore, the Federal Open Market Committee's recent staff projections suggest a "mild recession" in 2023, followed by a subsequent recovery over the next two years. Billionaire investor Warren Buffett predicts further bank failures but reassures depositors that they have nothing to fear. Now, the question on everyone's mind is, what can we expect from major stocks in light of these recent events?
On the Daily timeframe, Tesla is clearly trading within a wedge and is currently approaching the trendline resistance. There is also a rally-base-drop supply zone intersecting the trendline resistance, thus, giving more credence to the possibility of a bearish outcome once the price tests into the resistance area. Given the ongoing price war in the EV markets and that Tesla has had to cut prices five times this year, I'm confident we will get some interesting reactions from the resistance area.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 167.69
Invalidation: 211.81
According to the charts, Microsoft stock prices have reached an all-year high and are currently trading within the pivot zone on the weekly timeframe. The rally-base-drop supply zone also fits perfectly within this pivot zone. Remember, a trendline resistance is rising right into the pivot zone. These confluences confirm, to a large extent, a bearish correction.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 262.33
Invalidation: 296.07
The news of Apple's high-yield savings account launch had everyone talking, but not a surprise to some. Despite the remarkable initiative of launching the 4.15% interest rate savings account, Apple stocks may encounter turbulence on their way up based on observing the price action on the charts. The resistance trendline of the flag pattern is expected to kick off a good amount of reaction, given that the trendline aligns perfectly with the supply zone as highlighted. This may not necessarily impact the overall bullish trend, though.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 152.04
Invalidation: 177.46
The rising channel intersecting a major trendline resistance at the 200-Day Moving Average resistance, all within a pivot zone on the Daily timeframe, tells a beautiful story still being written 'on Amazon.' The reaction from the point of intersection of all these three factors is expected to add the final piece of the puzzle, which I am confident will be bearish.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 100.98
Invalidation: 110.20
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
Legal disclaimer: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment advice or research. The material is provided as general market information and/or market commentary. Nothing in this material is or should be considered to be legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion included in the material constitutes a recommendation by Tradestone Ltd or the author that any particular investment security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither Tradestone Ltd nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein. You should always seek independent advice suitable to your needs.
Os investidores buscam no arranque de abril boas oportunidades no mercado de ações. Dois sectores aparentam perspetivas positivas para o próximo período: veículos elétricos (EV) e bancos.
Acabou a era do dinheiro barato da covid-19. Quem tem medo do ciclo contracionista do Fed? Aparentemente, os investidores de ações não têm.
Mercados em crise e volatilidade diante de acontecimentos geopolíticos não são novidade alguma. A reação inicial e imediata a estes acontecimentos é geralmente a mais dramática.
A pandemia continua a prejudicar a atividade económica na China, a guerra na Ucrânia continua a impactar a economia europeia inteira, e os esforços do Federal Reserve para controlar a inflação ameaçam provocar uma recessão.
Sempre que a inflação excede 4% e o desemprego vai abaixo de 5%, a economia dos EUA entra em recessão dentro de dois anos.
BCE dovish e Fed hawkish pintam uma paisagem pessimista para o EUR/USD. Será a próxima parada uma queda a 1,0770?
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